Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan
type: channel
description: Journal Title Prediksi: Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan Editor-in-Chief Ibnu Ashari DOI Prefix 10.31293 by Crossref Online ISSN 2828-8440 Print ISSN 1693-2439 Frequency 3 issues per year Url http://ejurnal.untag-smd.ac.id/index.php/PD/index Email sospol@untag-smd.ac.id Language Indonesian; English Licensing Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License Manage. Style Open Access Journal Publishing System Open Journal Systems (OJS 2.4.8.2) Publisher Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik Citation Analysis Google Scholar | Garuda | Sinta | DOI | OAI | BASE | ONE Search | Index Corpenicus | Road Address Department Public Administration, Faculty of Social and Political Siences, Jl. Ir Juanda No. 80 Samarinda (75124) Prediksi: Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan is a national open access journal published by the Faculty of Social and Political Sciences, University of August 17, 1945 Samarinda. This journal focuses on the development of humanities and social sciences, particularly in Political Science, Public Administration, and Policy Studies. Its aim is to promote a principled approach to research in these fields. Prediksi is fully committed to the authenticity of published articles. Authors submitting manuscripts must ensure that their work is original and has not been published previously, either partially or entirely, in any media. To maintain this standard, the journal implements an objective and fair peer-review process conducted by blind reviewers from various universities.
publisher: Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Samarinda
language: en-US
publication name: Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan
issn: 1693-2439
copyright: Please find the rights and licenses in PREDIKSI. License The non-commercial use of the article will be governed by the Creative Commons Attribution license as currently displayed on: PREDIKSI by http://ejurnal.untag-smd.ac.id/index.php/PD/index is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. under the CC BY-SA license, authors and other users are able to reprint, distribute or use the material for commercial purposes so long as they give attribution to the journal Psikostudia and license the republished material under the same license. Author’s Warranties The author warrants that the article is original, written by stated author(s), has not been published before, contains no unlawful statements, does not infringe the rights of others, is subject to copyright that is vested exclusively in the author and free of any third party rights, and that any necessary written permissions to quote from other sources have been obtained by the author(s). User Rights PREDIKSI spirit is to disseminate articles published are as free as possible. Under the Creative Commons license, PREDIKSI permits users to copy, distribute, display, and perform the work for non-commercial purposes only. Users will also need to attribute authors and PREDIKSI on distributing works in the journal. Rights of Authors Authors retain the following rights: Copyright, and other proprietary rights relating to the article, such as patent rights, The right to use the substance of the article in future own works, including lectures and books, The right to reproduce the article for own purposes, provided the copies are not offered for sale, The right to self-archive the article. Co-Authorship If the article was jointly prepared by other authors, the signatory of this form warrants that he/she has been authorized by all co-authors to sign this agreement on their behalf, and agrees to inform his/her co-authors of the terms of this agreement. Termination This agreement can be te…
items: Collaborative Governance in Handling Neglected Children in Sukabumi City, 2022-2024
items: Institutional Governance and Investment Licensing Reform in Indonesia’s Free Trade Zones: A Case Study of Tanjungpinang
items: Capacity Building of the Sukabumi City Health Department in Efforts to Prevent Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF)
items: Implementasi Online Single Submission Risk Based Approach Pada Mal Pelayanan Publik Kota Sukabumi
items: Collaborative Governance in Hydrometeorological Disaster Mitigation in Sukabumi City
items: Performance Accountability of the Civil Service Police Unit in Regulating Billboards in Sukabumi City
items: Implementasi Pengawasan Sistem Pengendalian Internal Pemerintah (SPIP) Oleh Inspektorat Kabupaten Sukabumi
items: Optimalisasi Fungsi Lapang Merdeka Sebagai Public Sport Center Dalam Mewujudkan Kota Sehat
items: Transparansi Digital Sebagai Instrumen Penguatan Akuntabilitas Publik Pada Pemerintah Kota Surabaya Tahun 2020-2024
items: Pengaruh Reformasi Birokrasi Terhadap Kinerja Pelayanan Kecamatan Sangatta Selatan Kabupaten Kutai Timur
items: Analisis Kinerja Bpbd Dalam Menanggulangi Bencana Tanah Longsor Di Kabupaten Sukabumi (Studi Kasus Kecamatan Cikakak Tahun 2025)
items: Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Terhadap Kebijakan Ekspor Karet Indonesia Pada 8 Negara Tujuan Utama Dengan Inflasi Sebagai Variabel Intervening
items: Path Dependence and Constrained Path Creation in a Newcomer Political Organization Party: Insight from Post Democratic Transition Context
items: Perilaku Masyarakat Desa Antutan Kecamatan Tanjung Palas Kabupaten Bulungan Dalam Pengelolaan Sampah Organik Dan Anorganik
items: Tata Kelola Kolaboratif dan Pemberdayaan Masyarakat untuk Pengelolaan Ekowisata Berkelanjutan di Air Terjun Sipiso-Piso
items: Penerapan Prinsip-Prinsip Good Governance Dalam Proses Penerimaan Calon Pegawai Negeri Sipil Pada Badan Kepegawaian Daerah Provinsi Kalimantan Timur
items: Implementasi Kebijakan Pemerintah dalam Program Makan Bergizi Gratis di SD Negeri 008 Kota Samarinda

Collaborative Governance in Handling Neglected Children in Sukabumi City, 2022-2024
type: item
description: This study analyzes the collaborative governance process in handling neglected children in Sukabumi City from 2022 to 2024. The number of neglected children recorded during this period shows a concerning trend, with an average of only about 22% successfully handled. Using a descriptive qualitative method based on Ansell and Gash's (2007) collaborative governance model which consists of four dimensions: starting conditions, institutional design, facilitative leadership, and collaborative process data were collected through in-depth interviews with five key informant groups: the Department of Social Affairs (Dinas Sosial), Satpol PP (Civil Service Police Unit), DP2KBP3A, LKSA Ummi Kulsum, and IPSM (Community Social Workers Association). The findings indicate that the collaborative governance process has not functioned effectively. The four dimensions mutually reinforce weaknesses in a recurring cycle: unequal starting conditions, suboptimal facilitative leadership, inadequate institutional design, and a reactive collaborative process. The main constraints include the absence of an official decree establishing an interagency integrated team, the lack of a regular coordination forum, differing incentives among stakeholders, and a complaint-based service system. This study recommends the immediate issuance of an official decree establishing an interagency integrated team and the formation of a regular coordination forum to strengthen multi-stakeholder collaboration.
creator: Annisa Fauziah
creator: M Rijal Amirulloh
creator: Yana Fajar F.Y Basori
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-15
publication date: 2026-07-15
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 237
ending page: 247
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9579

Institutional Governance and Investment Licensing Reform in Indonesia’s Free Trade Zones: A Case Study of Tanjungpinang
type: item
description: The Free Trade Zone (FTZ) policy was established to stimulate regional economic growth through investment promotion, trade facilitation, fiscal incentives, and simplified licensing procedures. Despite possessing strategic geographical advantages, the implementation of the FTZ policy in Tanjungpinang has not yet achieved its intended objectives. This study examines institutional fragmentation in investment licensing governance within the Tanjungpinang FTZ and analyzes its implications for investment service effectiveness. A qualitative case study approach was employed, utilizing in-depth interviews, document analysis, and literature review. Data were analyzed using the interactive model of Miles, Huberman, and Saldaña, consisting of data reduction, data display, and conclusion drawing. The findings reveal that overlapping authority among the Tanjungpinang FTZ Management Agency, local government institutions, and national licensing authorities has created institutional fragmentation. Weak inter-agency coordination, inconsistent implementation of the Online Single Submission (OSS) system, and regulatory ambiguities contribute to procedural complexity and uncertainty for investors. These challenges have reduced administrative efficiency, delayed investment realization, and weakened the competitiveness of the Tanjungpinang FTZ compared to other special economic zones. The study emphasizes the need for regulatory harmonization, clearer institutional authority, strengthened coordination mechanisms, and integrated licensing services to improve investment governance and enhance regional competitiveness.
creator: Ade Masniary
creator: Rumzi Samin
creator: Edy Akhyari
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-15
publication date: 2026-07-15
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 248
ending page: 261
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9530

Capacity Building of the Sukabumi City Health Department in Efforts to Prevent Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF)
type: item
description: Kasus Demam Berdarah Dengue (DBD) di Kota Sukabumi terus berfluktuasi dan cenderung meningkat, dengan jumlah tertinggi mencapai 1.631 kasus pada tahun 2024, jauh melebihi target nasional. Studi ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis peningkatan kapasitas Dinas Kesehatan Kota Sukabumi dalam upaya pencegahan DBD. Dengan menggunakan metode deskriptif kualitatif dengan teknik pengumpulan data, observasi, wawancara mendalam, dan dokumentasi, penelitian ini menganalisis data melalui kondensasi, presentasi, dan verifikasi. Teori peningkatan kapasitas Grindle (1997) digunakan sebagai analisis kerangka melalui tiga dimensi: pengembangan sumber daya manusia, penguatan organisasi, dan reformasi kelembagaan. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa peningkatan kapasitas Dinas Kesehatan Kota Sukabumi belum optimal. Pada dimensi SDM, setiap puskesmas hanya memiliki satu petugas DBD P2 dan satu kader pemantauan jentik per RW, dengan pelatihan entomologi terbatas pada 2-3 orang. Dimensi penguatan organisasi penanganan ketergantungan pada logistik RDT Demam berdarah tingkat provinsi dan fasilitas pemeriksaan yang terbatas. Dimensi reformasi kelembagaan menunjukkan bahwa koordinasi lintas sektor masih bersifat internal dan informal, sementara partisipasi masyarakat dalam pemberantasan sarang nyamuk bersifat reaktif. Kesimpulannya, peningkatan kapasitas Dinas Kesehatan Kota Sukabumi masih terbatas dan memerlukan penguatan secara simultan pada dimensi ketiga tersebut, terutama penambahan SDM, kemandirian logistik, dan penguatan koordinasi lintas sektor.
creator: Sheni Zulfani
creator: Yana Fajar FY Basori
creator: M Rijal Amirulloh
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-15
publication date: 2026-07-15
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 262
ending page: 272
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9576

Implementasi Online Single Submission Risk Based Approach Pada Mal Pelayanan Publik Kota Sukabumi
type: item
description: Implementasi pelayanan perizinan berbasis digital melalui Online Single Submission Risk Based Approach (OSS-RBA) pada Mal Pelayanan Publik Kota Sukabumi menunjukkan adanya transformasi pelayanan publik menuju sistem yang lebih cepat, terintegrasi, dan transparan. Peningkatan jumlah pelaku usaha yang memiliki Nomor Induk Berusaha (NIB) pada periode 2021–2024 menunjukkan peningkatan akses legalitas usaha bagi masyarakat, khususnya pelaku usaha mikro, kecil, dan menengah. Namun, penurunan nilai Survei Kepuasan Masyarakat pada tahun 2025 menunjukkan bahwa implementasi pelayanan digital masih menghadapi berbagai kendala. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis implementasi OSS-RBA pada Mal Pelayanan Publik Kota Sukabumi menggunakan teori implementasi kebijakan George Edward III yang meliputi komunikasi, sumber daya, disposisi, dan struktur birokrasi. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan deskriptif kualitatif dengan teknik pengumpulan data melalui observasi, wawancara, dan dokumentasi. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa implementasi OSS-RBA telah memberikan dampak positif terhadap percepatan pelayanan perizinan dan kemudahan akses pelayanan masyarakat. Namun rendahnya literasi digital masyarakat, gangguan sistem teknis, serta koordinasi lintas instansi yang belum optimal masih menjadi kendala dalam pelaksanaan pelayanan.
creator: Mochamad Ramzi Ramadhan
creator: Dine Meigawati
creator: Dian Purwanti
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-16
publication date: 2026-07-16
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 273
ending page: 290
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9490

Collaborative Governance in Hydrometeorological Disaster Mitigation in Sukabumi City
type: item
description: The high frequency of hydrometeorological disasters in Sukabumi City makes collaborative governance among actors a fundamental necessity in disaster mitigation. Although mitigation efforts have been supported by formal regulations and institutional frameworks, the effectiveness of their implementation is strongly influenced by the quality of collaborative governance established among stakeholders. This study aims to analyze collaborative governance in hydrometeorological disaster mitigation in Sukabumi City using the Ansell and Gash (2007) model, encompassing starting conditions, institutional design, facilitative leadership, and collaborative process. A descriptive qualitative approach was employed through in-depth interviews, observation, and document study, involving BPBD, Bappeda, Dinas Sosial, Dinas PUPR, KNPI, and PWI Sukabumi City as informants. The findings indicate that collaborative governance has been established through multi-stakeholder engagement, the formation of the Disaster Risk Reduction Forum (FPRB), and the Disaster-Resilient Village program. However, collaboration remains constrained by the unrenewed legal basis of the FPRB, the absence of standardized cross-institutional operational guidelines, dependence on particular leadership figures, and suboptimal information sharing among stakeholders. This study concludes that collaborative governance in Sukabumi City has been formed but has not yet reached an optimal level, thus requiring strengthened institutional frameworks, regulations, and coordination mechanisms to ensure consistent and sustainable collaboration.
creator: Salma Normalina
creator: Dian Purwanti
creator: M Rijal Amirulloh
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-16
publication date: 2026-07-16
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 291
ending page: 301
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9577

Performance Accountability of the Civil Service Police Unit in Regulating Billboards in Sukabumi City
type: item
description: The proliferation of unlicensed billboards and their placement in violation of regulations in the city of Sukabumi indicates a gap between policy and its implementation on the ground. This study aims to analyze the performance accountability of the Sukabumi City Civil Service Police Unit in regulating advertisements using Koppell’s (2005) theory of accountability, which includes transparency, liability, control, responsibility, and responsiveness. This study employs a descriptive qualitative approach with data collection techniques including in-depth interviews, observation, and document analysis, validated through triangulation of sources and methods. The results indicate that the performance accountability of the Civil Service Police Unit is in place, but there are still several aspects that need improvement to ensure more optimal implementation. In the transparency dimension, information dissemination has been supported by the use of digital communication and reporting systems, although the disclosure of information to the public still needs to be expanded. In the liability dimension, material accountability mechanisms have functioned well but are not yet accompanied by an effective formal system of rewards and sanctions. The controllability dimension is still hampered by the lack of measurable performance targets and inter-agency data integration. In the responsibility dimension, enforcement activities have been supported by compliance with applicable procedures and regulations. Meanwhile, the responsiveness dimension remains limited due to the public’s low utilization of complaint channels. Strengthening the performance accountability of the Civil Service Police Unit can be achieved by establishing measurable enforcement performance targets, developing a formal system of rewards and sanctions for officers, expanding public awareness of complaint channels and extending patrol coverage to the entire city; and strengthening inter-agency data integration, accompani…
creator: Intan Quraeni Nursomantri
creator: Yana Fajar FY Basori
creator: Dine Meigawati
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-16
publication date: 2026-07-16
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 302
ending page: 311
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9578

Implementasi Pengawasan Sistem Pengendalian Internal Pemerintah (SPIP) Oleh Inspektorat Kabupaten Sukabumi
type: item
description: This study aims to analyze the implementation of the Government Internal Control System (SPIP) supervision by the Inspectorate of Sukabumi Regency and identify the factors influencing its implementation. The study was motivated by the persistence of irregularities in regional financial and asset management, the limited number of auditors, and the SPIP maturity level of Sukabumi Regency, which remains at Level 3. A descriptive qualitative method was employed, with data collected through observation, interviews, and documentation. Data were analyzed using the Miles and Huberman model, while the policy implementation analysis was based on the framework of Van Meter and Van Horn, which includes policy standards and objectives, resources, characteristics of implementing agencies, interorganizational communication, environmental conditions, and implementers’ disposition. The findings indicate that SPIP supervision has been implemented in accordance with existing regulations; however, it has not yet been fully optimized due to limited human resources, extensive supervisory coverage, and a high auditor workload. Therefore, strengthening APIP capacity, improving coordination, and increasing resource support are necessary to enhance supervisory effectiveness and promote accountable and transparent governance. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis implementasi pengawasan Sistem Pengendalian Intern Pemerintah (SPIP) oleh Inspektorat Kabupaten Sukabumi serta mengidentifikasi faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi pelaksanaannya. Latar belakang penelitian ini didasarkan pada masih ditemukannya penyimpangan dalam pengelolaan keuangan dan aset daerah, keterbatasan jumlah auditor, serta capaian maturitas SPIP Kabupaten Sukabumi yang masih berada pada Level 3. Penelitian menggunakan metode deskriptif kualitatif dengan teknik pengumpulan data melalui observasi, wawancara, dan dokumentasi. Analisis data dilakukan menggunakan model Miles dan Huberman, sedangkan analisis implementasi kebij…
creator: Salman Nurhadi Iswandi
creator: Dine Meigawati
creator: Andi Mulyadi
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-17
publication date: 2026-07-17
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 312
ending page: 329
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9550

Optimalisasi Fungsi Lapang Merdeka Sebagai Public Sport Center Dalam Mewujudkan Kota Sehat
type: item
description: This study aims to analyze the optimization of Lapang Merdeka's function as a public sport center in Sukabumi City through the implementation of local government policies. The research was motivated by the deviation of the area's primary function due to commercial activities, inconsistencies in policy implementation, and the declining comfort of the community in utilizing Lapang Merdeka as a public sports facility. This study employed a qualitative descriptive approach. Data were collected through observation, interviews, and documentation and analyzed using George C. Edward III’s policy implementation model, consisting of communication, resources, disposition, and bureaucratic structure. The findings indicate that policy implementation has been carried out relatively well through socialization programs, supervision, sports development activities, and inter-agency coordination. However, the optimization of Lapang Merdeka has not been fully achieved due to the persistence of non-sport activities, budget limitations, inadequate supervision, and the need for stronger institutional coordination. Therefore, enhancing supervision, strengthening coordination among government agencies, and increasing public awareness are essential to ensure the sustainable and optimal functioning of Lapang Merdeka as a public sport center. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis optimalisasi fungsi Lapang Merdeka sebagai public sport center di Kota Sukabumi melalui implementasi kebijakan pemerintah daerah. Permasalahan penelitian dilatarbelakangi oleh terjadinya penyimpangan fungsi kawasan akibat aktivitas perdagangan, ketidaksesuaian pelaksanaan kebijakan, serta berkurangnya kenyamanan masyarakat dalam memanfaatkan Lapang Merdeka sebagai ruang olahraga publik. Penelitian menggunakan metode kualitatif dengan pendekatan deskriptif. Data dikumpulkan melalui observasi, wawancara, dan dokumentasi, kemudian dianalisis menggunakan model implementasi kebijakan George C. Edward III yang meliput…
creator: Akbar Devriansyah
creator: Dian Purwanti
creator: Andi Mulyadi
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-17
publication date: 2026-07-17
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 330
ending page: 345
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9574

Transparansi Digital Sebagai Instrumen Penguatan Akuntabilitas Publik Pada Pemerintah Kota Surabaya Tahun 2020-2024
type: item
description: Digital transparency has increasingly been recognized as an important instrument for strengthening public accountability in the era of digital government. However, previous studies have shown that the disclosure of information through digital platforms does not automatically lead to improved accountability. This study aims to analyze how digital transparency functions as an instrument for strengthening public accountability in the Surabaya City Government during the 2020–2024 period. A descriptive qualitative approach was employed using content analysis of seven official digital platforms managed by the Surabaya City Government, including the municipal government portal, the Public Information and Documentation Management Officer (PPID) portal, Open Data Surabaya, the Electronic Procurement Service (LPSE), SP4N-LAPOR!, Suroboyo Hub, and other public information service platforms. The analysis was complemented by a comparison of national Electronic-Based Government System (SPBE) index data and external accountability indicators. The findings reveal that all digital transparency indicators were available and functioned substantively rather than merely fulfilling administrative requirements. Digital transparency contributed to strengthening public accountability through accessible information, disclosure of public documents, integrated information systems, and responsive and traceable complaint-handling mechanisms. Throughout the study period, Surabaya consistently achieved SPBE scores above the national average, reaching 4.49 in 2024. The study also identified five supporting factors: committed leadership, system integration, user orientation, institutional capacity, and effective complaint follow-up mechanisms. These findings suggest that digital transparency can strengthen public accountability when supported by adequate institutional capacity and citizen-oriented information governance.
creator: Muhammad Hibbani
creator: Agung Firman Sampurna
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-22
publication date: 2026-07-22
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 346
ending page: 358
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9566

Pengaruh Reformasi Birokrasi Terhadap Kinerja Pelayanan Kecamatan Sangatta Selatan Kabupaten Kutai Timur
type: item
description: This study aims to analyze the effect of bureaucratic reform on public service performance at the Sangatta Selatan District Office, Kutai Timur Regency. Bureaucratic reform is a strategic government initiative to improve governance through organizational effectiveness, civil servant professionalism, and better public service delivery. This research employed a quantitative approach using a survey method involving 40 respondents selected according to the research criteria. Data were collected through questionnaires and analyzed using simple linear regression with SPSS software. The findings indicate that bureaucratic reform has a positive and significant effect on public service performance. Better implementation of bureaucratic reform is associated with improved quality of services delivered to the community. These results suggest that successful bureaucratic reform contributes to enhancing the effectiveness of public service delivery. Therefore, continuous commitment is required to strengthen organizational governance, improve the competence of public officials, and encourage service innovation to achieve high-quality, accountable, and citizen-oriented public services. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis pengaruh reformasi birokrasi terhadap kinerja pelayanan publik pada Kantor Kecamatan Sangatta Selatan, Kabupaten Kutai Timur. Reformasi birokrasi menjadi salah satu upaya pemerintah dalam meningkatkan kualitas tata kelola pemerintahan melalui peningkatan efektivitas organisasi, profesionalisme aparatur, dan kualitas pelayanan kepada masyarakat. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan metode survei terhadap 40 responden yang dipilih menggunakan teknik sampling sesuai karakteristik penelitian. Data dikumpulkan melalui kuesioner dan dianalisis menggunakan analisis regresi linear sederhana dengan bantuan aplikasi SPSS. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa reformasi birokrasi berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap kinerja pelayanan publik. Peningkatan i…
creator: Suhardiman Suhardiman
creator: Jamiah Jamiah
creator: Raudah Mahmud
creator: Futum Hubaib
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-23
publication date: 2026-07-23
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 359
ending page: 366
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9658

Analisis Kinerja Bpbd Dalam Menanggulangi Bencana Tanah Longsor Di Kabupaten Sukabumi (Studi Kasus Kecamatan Cikakak Tahun 2025)
type: item
description: This study aims to analyze the performance of the Regional Disaster Management Agency (BPBD) of Sukabumi Regency in managing landslide disasters in Cikakak District in 2025. The research employed a qualitative descriptive approach. Data were collected through observation, interviews, and documentation involving BPBD officials, the Cikakak District government, and affected community members. The analysis was based on Agus Dwiyanto’s public organizational performance theory, which includes productivity, service quality, responsiveness, responsibility, and accountability. The findings indicate that the overall performance of BPBD Sukabumi Regency was satisfactory. BPBD successfully implemented disaster mitigation programs, emergency response activities, victim evacuation, and aid distribution effectively. The quality of services was considered adequate, disaster responses were carried out promptly through effective coordination, operational activities were conducted in accordance with established procedures, and accountability was maintained through transparent reporting mechanisms. However, improvements are still needed in disaster mitigation capacity, early warning systems, and community preparedness to reduce the risks and impacts of future landslide disasters in the area. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis kinerja Badan Penanggulangan Bencana Daerah (BPBD) Kabupaten Sukabumi dalam menanggulangi bencana tanah longsor di Kecamatan Cikakak tahun 2025. Penelitian menggunakan metode kualitatif dengan pendekatan deskriptif. Data dikumpulkan melalui observasi, wawancara, dan dokumentasi dengan informan yang terdiri atas pihak BPBD, pemerintah Kecamatan Cikakak, dan masyarakat terdampak bencana. Analisis dilakukan menggunakan teori kinerja organisasi publik Agus Dwiyanto yang meliputi produktivitas, kualitas pelayanan, responsivitas, responsibilitas, dan akuntabilitas. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa kinerja BPBD Kabupaten Sukabumi secara umum telah berjalan ba…
creator: Fathira Nurul Rabbani
creator: M. Rijal Amirulloh
creator: Dian Purwanti
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-24
publication date: 2026-07-24
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 367
ending page: 378
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9619

Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Terhadap Kebijakan Ekspor Karet Indonesia Pada 8 Negara Tujuan Utama Dengan Inflasi Sebagai Variabel Intervening
type: item
description: ABSTRACT This study examines how exchange rate and economic growth affect Indonesia's rubber export policy toward eight primary destination countries across the 2012-2024 period, treating inflation as an intervening variable. Drawing on panel data regression through the Fixed Effect Model and Random Effect Model, the findings reveal that exchange rate exerts a negative and significant influence on both inflation and rubber exports, whereas economic growth exerts a positive and significant influence on inflation and rubber exports alike. Inflation, in turn, negatively and significantly affects rubber exports, and the Sobel tests confirm that inflation serves as a significant mediator in the relationship between exchange rate, economic growth, and rubber exports. These results suggest that exchange rate and economic growth shape Indonesia's rubber export performance both directly and indirectly, with the latter pathway operating through the inflation transmission mechanism in the destination countries. ABSTRAK Penelitian ini mengkaji bagaimana nilai tukar dan pertumbuhan ekonomi memengaruhi kebijakan ekspor karet Indonesia ke delapan negara tujuan utama sepanjang periode 2012-2024, dengan inflasi diperlakukan sebagai variabel intervening. Dengan memanfaatkan regresi data panel melalui Fixed Effect Model dan Random Effect Model, temuan penelitian mengungkapkan bahwa nilai tukar memberikan pengaruh negatif dan signifikan baik terhadap inflasi maupun ekspor karet, sementara pertumbuhan ekonomi memberikan pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap kedua variabel tersebut. Inflasi sendiri terbukti berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap ekspor karet, dan uji Sobel mengonfirmasi bahwa inflasi berperan sebagai mediator yang signifikan dalam hubungan antara nilai tukar, pertumbuhan ekonomi, dan ekspor karet. Hasil ini mengindikasikan bahwa nilai tukar dan pertumbuhan ekonomi membentuk kinerja ekspor karet Indonesia baik secara langsung maupun tidak langsung, di mana jalur t…
creator: Febryanti Angkat
creator: Khairani Alawiyah Matondang
creator: Bukit Buchori Siagian
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-24
publication date: 2026-07-24
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 379
ending page: 391
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9584

Path Dependence and Constrained Path Creation in a Newcomer Political Organization Party: Insight from Post Democratic Transition Context
type: item
description: Stalled progress on institutional change was curtailed by a path-dependence mechanism, such as increasing returns and self-reinforcing coordination effects. Bringing institutional accounts to study the Gema Bangsa Party (GBP), a newcomer political party in Indonesia seeking to challenge established party structures through organisational and programmatic innovation. This article found the path-creation within an endogeneity strategy to change. In this case, though the path dependence mechanism revealed in the case under examination is shaped by the internal legacy of the organisation (e.g., leadership culture, routines, or elite conflicts), it is also strongly shaped by external sources operating through state regulation, the structure of electoral competition, and the norms of the party organisational field. This argument was backed up by interview findings showing that the party, although faced with "old player" hegemony challenges under the internal governing system, also performed small changes made within the party, such as decentralising party power, thereby converging between old and "new" schools. The theoretical implication is the expansion of the path dependence reading from a mere mechanism of "path dependency" that grows endogenously within organisations toward a model that incorporates external path enforcement as a path reinforcer toward limited path-creation.
creator: Muhammad Sakur
creator: Muslem Muslem
creator: Kirwan Kirwan
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-30
publication date: 2026-07-30
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 392
ending page: 405
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9486

Perilaku Masyarakat Desa Antutan Kecamatan Tanjung Palas Kabupaten Bulungan Dalam Pengelolaan Sampah Organik Dan Anorganik
type: item
description: his study aims to describe the behavior of the community of Antutan Village, Tanjung Palas District, Bulungan Regency in managing organic and inorganic waste, where there are problems in the village, namely the frequent disposal of waste into the river and the piling of waste beside the forest in the village. The research method used in this study is descriptive qualitative with interview techniques and field observations. This type of research is descriptive, namely to describe and examine data obtained from in-depth interviews, observations, as well as documentation data and literature studies. The results of this study show that in managing organic and inorganic waste, various behaviors arise, including burning dry waste, composting organic waste, as well as reusing waste and separating waste, which are not carried out with proper management and can even be said to be unstructured. There is only individual awareness in managing such waste into something that can be reused, such as organic fertilizer for wet waste and handicrafts for dry waste. Additionally, there are no trash bins available for separating waste, no temporary waste disposal sites, and no transportation system for collecting waste in Antutan Village, Tanjung Palas District, Bulungan Regency. Penelitian ini bertujuan mendeskripsikan sebauah prilaku Masyarakat Desa Antutan Kecamatan Tanjung Palas Kabupaten Bulungan Dalam Pengelolaan Sampah Organik dan Anorganik yang mana terdapat permasalahan di Desa tersebut yakni seringnya Masyarakat yang membuang sampah di Sungai dan menimbun sampah disamping hutan yang ada di Desa tersebut. Metode Metode penelitian yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini menggunakan deskriptif kualitatif teknik wawancara dan observasi lapangan. Jenis penelitian bersifat deskriptif, yaitu untuk mendeskripsikan serta mengkaji data yang diperoleh dari hasil wawancara mendalam (indepth interview), observasi, maupun data dokumentasi dan studi kepustakaan. Hasil penelitian ini antara lain …
creator: Kartini Maharani Abdul
creator: Budi Mulyadi
creator: Irsyad Sudirman
creator: Hendrikus Toto
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-31
publication date: 2026-07-31
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 406
ending page: 414
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9669

Tata Kelola Kolaboratif dan Pemberdayaan Masyarakat untuk Pengelolaan Ekowisata Berkelanjutan di Air Terjun Sipiso-Piso
type: item
description: Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis collaborative governance dan pemberdayaan masyarakat dalam pengelolaan ekowisata berkelanjutan di Air Terjun Sipiso-piso, Kabupaten Karo, Sumatera Utara. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif dengan metode studi kasus. Data dikumpulkan melalui wawancara mendalam, observasi, dan dokumentasi yang melibatkan pemerintah daerah, pengelola wisata, masyarakat lokal, pelaku UMKM, serta kelompok komunitas pariwisata. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pengelolaan wisata di Air Terjun Sipiso-piso telah melibatkan berbagai pemangku kepentingan, namun tata kelola kolaboratif belum terlaksana secara terstruktur dan berkelanjutan. Koordinasi antaraktor masih bersifat parsial, dan proses pengambilan keputusan masih didominasi oleh pemerintah. Dari sisi pemberdayaan masyarakat, masyarakat lokal telah memperoleh manfaat ekonomi dari aktivitas pariwisata, tetapi manfaat tersebut masih terbatas pada partisipasi ekonomi dasar dan belum disertai dengan penguatan kapasitas maupun pendampingan yang berkelanjutan. Penelitian ini juga mengidentifikasi kebutuhan konkret terkait peningkatan infrastruktur pendukung, seperti pembangunan jembatan menuju area bawah air terjun, taman bermain anak, fasilitas tempat duduk, serta gazebo. Temuan ini menegaskan pentingnya penguatan tata kelola kolaboratif dan pemberdayaan masyarakat guna mewujudkan pengelolaan ekowisata yang inklusif dan berkelanjutan.
creator: Tri Sandhya Girsang
creator: Bresca Merina
creator: Pudji Astuti
creator: Sigit Wahyudi
creator: Suljatmiko Suljatmiko
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-30
publication date: 2026-07-30
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 415
ending page: 428
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9481

Penerapan Prinsip-Prinsip Good Governance Dalam Proses Penerimaan Calon Pegawai Negeri Sipil Pada Badan Kepegawaian Daerah Provinsi Kalimantan Timur
type: item
description: This research aims to describe the Application of Good Governance Principles in the Process of Selection Candidates for Civil Servants at the Regional Civil Service Agency of East Kalimantan Province as stipulated in Law Number 28 of 1999, especially the principles of accountability, transparency and fairness in the Process of Selection Candidates for Civil Servants. This research was carried out at the Regional Civil Service Agency East Kalimantan Province. In this research, researchers used a qualitative approach to the data obtained in the form of descriptive data. The data analysis technique used is based on the Miles and Huberman model which is called the interactive model, including; data collection, data reduction, data presentation, and conclusion drawing. The results of this research prove the implementation of Good Governance in the Process of Selection Candidates for Civil Servants at the the Regional Civil Service Agency East Kalimantan Province has been going well, carried out in an accountable, transparent and fair. The realization of Good Governance is because the CAT system contributes to Process of Selection Candidates for Civil Servants in a direction that is free from Corruption, Collusion and Nepotism so that everyone can oversee the ongoing selection process through the existing media. Different to using earlier conventional/paper test based where easily damaged, inefficient, and less transparent. In general, almost all Process of Selection Candidates for Civil Servants at the Regional Civil Service Agency East Kalimantan Province are in accordance with existing rules and regulations. Even though it hasn't reached the maximum point, sometimes the portal often experiences interruptions during the reception period due to the large number of accessors at the same time. On the other hand, there are still deficiencies that must be corrected so that the objectives of the CAT system are achieved with maximum results, namely regarding the lack of adequa…
creator: Siti Nurmi Amalia
creator: Jamil Bazarah
creator: Ghufron Ghufron
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-30
publication date: 2026-07-30
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 429
ending page: 440
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9725

Implementasi Kebijakan Pemerintah dalam Program Makan Bergizi Gratis di SD Negeri 008 Kota Samarinda
type: item
description: This study aims to describe the implementation of government policies and analyze the supporting and inhibiting factors in the Free Nutritious Meal Program at SD Negeri 008 in Samarinda City. This study employs a descriptive qualitative research design. Data collection was conducted through observation, interviews, and documentation. The data were then analyzed using descriptive qualitative data analysis techniques, including data sorting, data presentation, and drawing conclusions from the data. The focus of this study is the implementation of government policy in the Free Nutritious Meal Program at SD Negeri 008 in Samarinda City, as determined by the following indicators: communication, resources, disposition, and bureaucratic structure, as well as analyzing the supporting and hindering factors in its implementation. The research findings indicate that the implementation of government policy in the Free Nutritious Meals Program at SD Negeri 008 in Samarinda can be assessed based on the research focus. Communication efforts have been carried out effectively, but consistency still needs to be improved as challenges continue to arise. The available resources to support the program’s implementation are sufficient, and the staff have demonstrated a positive attitude; as evidenced by the high commitment and full sense of responsibility demonstrated by the implementers toward the program. The bureaucratic structure has functioned effectively, supported by clear and simple Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) that are strictly adhered to by the organizers. Supporting factors include good cooperation and coordination; the hindering factors observed were delays in distribution and a decline in food quality during the initial stages. However, regarding these hindering factors, it is evident that all challenges have been optimally addressed by the implementers; nevertheless, there remains a need to enhance the performance of the implementers in accordance with their primary …
creator: Alivia Debi Yusnanda
creator: Maskan Maskan
creator: M. Ibnu Ashari. R
creator: Akbar Aswin
rights: Copyright (c) 2026 Prediksi : Jurnal Administrasi dan Kebijakan https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
date: 2026-07-30
publication date: 2026-07-30
volume: 25
number: 2
starting page: 441
ending page: 453
doi: 10.31293/pd.v25i2.9735